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Forecast of the full-year count, planned starts included, not rows of this table: about 13 trials starting in 2026 and about 13 in 2027, the average of the 24 months through September, counted as registered and carried forward. The rows of this table count trials registered so far with a start date in the year, planned starts included; the forecast looks ahead to the count for the whole year, so it is not the same measure. This method has not been backtested on organizations. In backtests on conditions with as many trial starts a year as this organization (5 to 20), forecasts made part-way through the year were typically off by about 28 percent and ran about 20 percent low against the count later registered; forecasts made before the year began were off by about 39 percent and ran about 37 percent low against the count later registered. These figures rest on a few years of history (target years from 2018 to 2025, varying by figure), place each condition as it is mapped today rather than as it was then, and score against a count for the newest year that was still being revised. Only condition series were scored.

Prediction, not a registry value: median of 23 months from start to primary completion across 14 trials still running at the 2026-10-09 snapshot. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov / AACT (CTTI), public domain.

The series also counts trials where the organization is a collaborator; the lead-sponsor trial count does not.